Eurovision 2024 Odds: Predict the Winner with Data!

Kristian Gorenc Z

Apr 11, 2024

Eurovision 2024 is fast approaching, drawing excitement and anticipation across Europe and beyond. For nearly 70 years, the Eurovision Song Contest has been a showcase of musical talent and cultural diversity, organized by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU). Participating broadcasters from each country choose an artist and a song through various selection processes, leading up to the main event in May. The Contest features three live shows: the First Semi-Final, the Second Semi-Final, and the Grand Final, culminating in a Saturday night spectacle. Songs are original, performances are live, and countries vote for their favorites, with viewers participating through phone, SMS, and the official app. The Eurovision Song Contest has evolved significantly since its inception in 1956, becoming a technologically advanced, week-long extravaganza.

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Eurovision 2024 Participants

The Eurovision 2024 lineup is as diverse as it is talented, with artists from across Europe and beyond taking the stage. Representing Albania is BESA with the song "TITAN", while Armenia's pride LADANIVA brings "Jako". Electric Fields from Australia will perform "One Milkali (One Blood)", and Austria's Kaleen will present "We Will Rave". Azerbaijan's FAHREE feat. Ilkin Dovlatov with "Özünlə Apar", and Belgium's Mustii with "Before the Party's Over" add to the diversity. Croatia will see Baby Lasagna perform "Rim Tim Tagi Dim", with Cyprus's Silia Kapsis bringing "Liar". Aiko from Czechia will showcase "Pedestal", and SABA from Denmark will perform "SAND". The lineup also includes 5MIINUST & Puuluup from Estonia with "(Nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi", Windows95man from Finland with "No Rules!", and France's Slimane with "Mon Amour". Georgia's Nutsa Buzaladze will perform "Firefighter", ISAAK from Germany will bring "Always On The Run", and Marina Satti from Greece with "ZARI". The list continues with Hera Björk from Iceland performing "Scared of Heights", Ireland's Bambie Thug with "Doomsday Blue", and Eden Golan from Israel with "Hurricane". Italy's Angelina Mango will sing "La Noia", Dons from Latvia will present "Hollow", and Silvester Belt from Lithuania will perform "Luktelk". Representing Luxembourg is TALI with "Fighter", Sarah Bonnici from Malta with "Loop", Moldova's Natalia Barbu with "In The Middle", and Joost Klein from the Netherlands with "Europapa". Norway's Gåte will perform "Ulveham", LUNA from Poland with "The Tower", and iolanda from Portugal with "Grito". MEGARA from San Marino will bring "11:11", TEYA DORA from Serbia will perform "RAMONDA", Slovenia's Raiven with "Veronika", Nebulossa from Spain with "ZORRA", Sweden's Marcus & Martinus with "Unforgettable", Nemo from Switzerland with "The Code", and alyona alyona & Jerry Heil from Ukraine with "Teresa & Maria". Lastly, Olly Alexander from the United Kingdom will perform "Dizzy".

Analyzing the Data with Viberate

Viberate, a comprehensive music analytics platform, has delved into the data to predict the potential winner of Eurovision 2024. The analysis covers Spotify, YouTube, and social media performances of each participant.

Spotify Analysis

The Eurovision 2024 participants exhibit varied performance metrics on Spotify. Slimane from France leads in follower growth, with an impressive gain of 271,729 followers in the last 12 months. In the realm of engagement, Joost from the Netherlands shows remarkable strength, securing the highest number of monthly streams and listeners, reaching 204,615,192 streams and 5,497,457 listeners. When considering overall Spotify performance, combining total followers, monthly streams, and listeners, the top 10 artists emerge. These include the likes of Slimane, Marcus & Martinus, Joost, Angelina Mango, Teya Dora, alyona alyona, 5miinust, Marina Satti, Isaak, and Nemo. This data not only reflects their current popularity but also their potential to influence the Eurovision 2024 outcomes.

YouTube Analysis

YouTube performance is another crucial indicator of an artist's popularity. Angelina Mango from Italy has shown significant growth on this platform, with an increase of 200,530 subscribers in the last 12 months. Slimane's content resonates well with the audience, amassing 202,359,051 views and 821,725 likes. The top 10 artists on YouTube, based on total subscribers, views, and likes, include Slimane, Marcus & Martinus, alyona alyona, Marina Satti, Angelina Mango, 5miinust, Besa, Dons, Joost, and Nemo. This diverse set of performers reflects the wide range of musical tastes and preferences across the Eurovision audience.

Social Media Performance

Social media platforms like TikTok and Instagram are increasingly influential in shaping artists' popularity. Angelina Mango's explosive growth on TikTok and Instagram is noteworthy, with increases of 801,670 followers and 1,314,220 respectively in the last 12 months. Joost's TikTok content has garnered 9,101,875 likes, showcasing his engagement with fans. The top 10 artists in overall social media ranking include Angelina Mango, Joost, Marcus & Martinus, Slimane, Nutsa, Eden Golan, alyona alyona, Luna, Teya Dora, and Baby Lasagna. These rankings reflect the artists' ability to connect and engage with their audiences across platforms.

Viberate's Verdict

Combining all these metrics, Viberate projects Italy's Angelina Mango as the potential winner of Eurovision 2024. The top 10 contenders, based on Viberate's comprehensive analysis, include Angelina Mango, Slimane, Marcus & Martinus, Joost, alyona alyona, Teya Dora, Olly Alexander, Marina Satti, Nebulossa, and Eden Golan. This data-driven approach offers a unique perspective on who might lead in this year's competition.

Conclusion

As Eurovision 2024 draws near, the excitement builds not just around the performances but also around predicting the winner. Viberate's data-driven analysis provides a unique perspective, suggesting that Angelina Mango from Italy could be the potential victor. However, Eurovision is known for its surprises, and anything can happen on the grand stage. With Eurovision 2024 odds being a topic of much discussion, it's clear that this year's contest will be as thrilling and unpredictable as ever.